Ingress/Egress predicted points off?

kranky
Affiliation
American Association of Variable Star Observers (AAVSO)
Mon, 05/17/2021 - 03:23

I recently took the exoplanet transit course and captured some data of my own to try.  I "think" I did things right, but a darn spreadsheet formula led me to stop imaging too early.   DOH!  User error.

My question however is why would the predicted ingress/egress still be so far off?  Is this typical?  Would be great to get some thoughts.  See attached info.  Thanks so much!

LINK to files

Jeff

dennis-conti
Affiliation
American Association of Variable Star Observers (AAVSO)
Ingress/Egress predicted points

Hi Jeff,

Where/how did you obtain the predicted ingress/egress points? NASA's Exoplanet Archive transit prediction service shows that for KPS-1b at McDonald Observatory in Texas (not sure where you are located, but this is also in the Central time zone), the only predicted transits during the month of May are on 5/18, 5/25, and 5/30.

Dennis Conti

Chair, AAVSO Exoplanet Section

kranky
Affiliation
American Association of Variable Star Observers (AAVSO)
NASA Archive

Hi Dennis, thanks for responding.  

I got the ingress/egress points from the NASA Exoplanet Archive (see screenshot).  The transit I was trying to observe occurred on 5/13 UT (from Lake Mills, WI  43.0814° N, -88.9118° E).  I mistakenly stopped imaging too soon, but even if I force the predicted ingress/egress points from the NASA Archive on the plot they are off significantly.

Object RA 165.167198  DEC 64.963845
Long/Lat:  43.0814° N, -88.9118° E

Using the online UTC-to-BJD_TBD online converter:
Ingress:  05/13/2021 05:12UT translates to 2459347.716834657 BJD_TBD
Egress:  05/13/2021 06:53UT translates to 2459347.786970445 BJD_TBD

Here's a link to my .plotcfg file and measurements file. 

The only thing I can think of is either I'm translating the ingress/egress points wrong or my system clock was off.  But I am using Dimension4 to sync my clock precisely.

Any ideas I really appreciate.  Of course it's been cloudy or too windy since to try again.  I'm eager to give it another go!  Thanks!

Jeff

 

 

dennis-conti
Affiliation
American Association of Variable Star Observers (AAVSO)
NASA Archive

Hi Jeff,

The uncertainty in KPS-1b's period could account for the discrepancy in times.

Dennis